FRANK CAMACHO VS BENEIL DARIUSH prediction

Frank Camacho
vs Beneil Dariush

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 162

Beneil Dariush is a UFC veteran having fought 15 times in the organization. He currently has 
a 10-4-1 record in the organization and with a win in his next fight, he could challenge someone from the top 15 or maybe even top 10. Darius fought fighters like Barboza, Hernandez, Magomedov, Chiesa or Johnson. His last fight was back in March 2019 when he defeated Drew Dober in the second round via triangle armbar. Camacho last time fought in June 2019 and knocked out Nick Hein in a thrilling match. Camacho has fought only unranked fighters.

Beneil Dariush is a great BJJ practitioner. He earned his black belt in BJJ in just five years starting in 2007 and won several competitions in no gi tournaments as a blue, purple and brown belt. 7 out of his 16 wins came by submission and most of them were rear naked chokes, so if Dariush can get the hold of opponent’s back, it’s trouble. He’s in the UFC since 2014 and this will be his 16th fight. He has some of the toughest guys in the lightweight division, so experience is on his side. You will not see Dariush doing some spinning kicks or some fancy footwork. Dairush stands in front of his opponent in the classic Muay Thai stance and is not afraid of trading shots in the pocket. He has not finished many opponents in the first round in the UFC. His first rounds are a bit slower as he likes to wait and counter his opponents with low kicks and overhand strikes.  Dariush puts a lot of power in his strikes, especially in his hooks and uppercuts. He could have some problems against fast strikers, like against Barboza. And also he does not seem as a fast striker as well.

Frank Camacho is a different story than Dariush. He is very active, aggressive striker marching towards his opponent even when he was badly hurt. In his first 3 UFC fights he always came home with a post-fight bonus. Here is a stat that proves that he is a toe-to-toe type of fighter: 6,85 significant strikes per minute landed, 7,16 significant strikes absorbed. Camacho is just not afraid of standing in the pocket and bang. Camacho is also not a big fan of submissions, as only 2 of his 22 wins came by submission. He took on a bit calmer approach in the UFC. His first round starts slower, he does not chase a knock out straight away. That comes in the 2nd and 3rd round, where all the fun begins. It is a mystery what he can do on the back since he didn’t spend too much time with his back on the ground.

Scenarios

This fight won’t probably go to decision but the first round will be slower, as both fighters will be feeling each other. Both fighters recorded their last 1st round win via KO/Submission in 2016. Since then it was either a decision or a late finish. So chances of this fight ending in the first round are a bit lower.

However, the 2nd and 3rd round should be interesting, as those are the round where Camacho is more active and aggressive. In those rounds an experienced Dariush could shine, as he could take Camacho down, when Camacho comes in too aggressive. Dariush is very good on the ground, so his chances on finishing the fight via submission are pretty high. We can’t say that about Camacho, since he’s relying on his striking and when he’s on top of an opponent, his ground and pound takes place. 

However, Camacho’s chances of winning this fight via TKO/KO are higher than Dariush’s, since Dariush will be looking to take Camacho down as many times as possible and hold him there as long as possible. But if Camacho connects with his hands, it could be a devastating KO. Dariush probably has a higher chance of winning this fight by decision, if he can take Camacho down. Since Camacho is as great as Dariush is on the ground, it could be expected, that Dariush will be most of the time on the top, when the fight plays out on the ground.